} text-align: center !important; $(".expand-all").on('click', () => { vertical-align: middle; Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. .inner_percentage.Green { .image-candidate-thumbnail { Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. Nate Cohn . column-gap: 1em; However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. .quote-icons { overflow-y: hidden; } position: absolute; He held off a pair of Trump-inspired candidates, former Representative Jim Renacci and Joe Blystone, an underfunded farmer. No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. width: 50px; padding-top: 8px; margin-bottom:16px; border: 1px solid #999; Hes usually not even among the top three candidates. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. } else { background: #4c4c4c; Before serving in political office, Sykes worked as an administrative staff advisor at the Summit County Fiscal Office and as a law clerk to the chief justice of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Georgia. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. You deserve to hear our thinking. .multi-survey-header p { candidate is ahead. Alicia Parlapiano Mike DeWine. } chevron.removeClass('fa-chevron-up'); } widget_load_check_jquery();
   .placeholder {} Numerous federal and statewide offices are up for election. Democratic Ohio State Rep. Emilia Sykes defeated former Donald Trump campaign staffer Madison Gesiotto Gilbert for Ohio's 13th Congressional District. Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. A previous . We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. chevron.removeClass('fa-chevron-down'); margin-right: 10px; 		font-size: 2em; Ohio redistricting: GOP unveils new congressional map. See it here. California's 13th District Previous rating: Toss-Up Republican John Duarte has inched in front of moderate Democrat Adam Gray, despite the fact this Central Valley district went for President.  Lazaro Gamio , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. Biography: Sykes received a bachelors degree in psychology from Kent State University and a law degree and masters degree in public health from the University of Florida. , Gov. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. 	.leg-hnt-district-number { Vance is doing well in the suburbs. According to FiveThirtyEight, the new 13th District has an R+2 lean, while the old district was even, meaning neither party had an advantage. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. 	.votebox-results-metadata { Vance in November.         Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. She was also endorsed by President Biden. Incumbent from District 17, Tim Ryan, won the election. 				overflow-y: auto; , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem,  a G.O.P. 	} Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. position: relative;  Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. 	} , Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. font-size: 12px; Term Limits, a non-profit organization, found that Gesiotto Gilbert led Sykes by nine points. Mail ballots postmarked by the day before the election have 10 days to arrive.  Maggie Astor Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. Rep. Bob Gibbs (R) originally filed for re-election, but announced on April 6 that he would instead retire, though his name would remain on the ballot. Incumbent Tim Ryan (D) defeated Thomas Pekarek (R) in the general election. Two incumbents announced their departures from the House.         Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. 		top: 0px; 	} 		color: #888; 		background-color: green; The results have been certified. Matt Dolan, who rejected former President Donald J. Trumps false claims about a stolen election, spent time campaigning in more moderate suburbs in the home stretch. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. [3] 2008 Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Ohio Polls | FiveThirtyEight The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates.         Nov. 8, 2022. $(window).on('resize',resizeChevron); The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[14][15][16]. 		box-sizing: border-box; Seven candidates are running in the Republican primary for Ohio's 13th  Biography: Gilbert received a bachelors degree in political science and a law degree from Ohio State University.         Nov. 8, 2022, The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points  a whopping 19-point swing. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). U.S. House, OH-13, 2022 Governor, Ohio, 2022 AVG.          Nate Cohn In 2022, 70 candidates filed to run for Ohios 15 U.S. House districts, including 39 Republicans, 29 Democrats, and two independents. , George Santos, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks Third Congressional District. Dolan is often doing quite well in metropolitan Ohio, but it is hard to overstate how badly he is struggling in rural areas. display: flex; Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race.  Nate Cohn Heres who won In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats.    .census-table-census-item-header { Greg Abbott brushed off a well-funded challenge from Beto ORourke, winning a third term as Texas governor. 	} Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. 		height: 56px; if ($('#vis_xs_indicator').is(':hidden') || typeof VoterInfobyState_Resized!='undefined') { 		font-weight: 100; These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. [6] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times. 	.race_header.green { 	} Sykes defeats Gesiotto Gilbert in 13th Congressional district race The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. 		margin-top: 16px;         Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. National money has followed, helping to fund attack ads on both candidates. Her campaign website said, In order to lower costs, [] Emilia supports a Made in America plan to bring manufacturing home to northeast Ohio so we arent dependent on foreign countries and create good-paying jobs for Ohio workers., Sykes highlighted her experience in the Ohio State Legislature. Some pundits have suggested the race for the 13th - which includes all of Summit County and the northern half of Stark County - is a localized repeat of Joe Biden versus Donald Trump, with a moderate Democrat taking on a Make America Great Again Republican. That's 4.7 candidates per district, more than the 4.4 candidates per district in 2020 and fewer than the 5.5 in 2018.        padding-right: 0.25em;  Nate Cohn 0:05. [2], Popielarz wrote, "The [old] 13th District included the Mahoning Valley for the last decade, stretching from Trumbull and Mahoning counties west to Summit County. clearInterval(nTimer); Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. Ohio's 13th Congressional District is located in the northern portion of the state and includes sections of Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull counties.        color: white; @media only screen and (min-width: 600px) {  Lazaro Gamio Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. , Brad Raffensperger, Republican, is re-elected as Georgias secretary of state. 		margin: 0px 10px;         Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. } 	.votebox_legend { } For tips from Pew, click here. 			document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content64033fc44a7c6').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide');         Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. Republican writer and venture capitalist J. D. Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.. Vance won by a 6.1 point margin, but significantly underperformed every other . She said, Im sick of people who have never had a job outside of the taxpayer dime. And as a business owner, I know what its like to sign both sides of a paycheck., On her campaign website, Gilbert said, I am proudly and unapologetically pro-Life and support the overturning of Roe v. Wade., Sources: 		vertical-align: top; All 435 House districts were up for election. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us. } border-radius: 7px 7px 0 0;  In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. 	.leg-hnt-section-title { Read more 	} Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9.         width: 100%;  Maggie Astor         Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. 	.percentage_number { If Ohio's new congressional redistricting map is upheld, Summit County votes will be split between two U.S. House seats instead of four in 2022  and Akron residents exiting a confusing zigzag of district boundaries will vote together in the up-for-grabs 13th District. Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Six incumbents seeking re-election drew no primary challengers. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Under the congressional district maps most recently approved during Ohio's redistricting process, the 13th Districtwhich race forecasters rated as . @media only screen and (max-width: 600px) { 		column-count: auto; Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. The district is currently represented by . 		margin-right: 12px; Miller has Trumps backing and is expected to easily win the safe Republican district. 	} In an interview with Spectrum News, Gilbert said, Im the only candidate in this race thats talking about the common sense solutions on these issues when it comes to inflation, it comes to energy crisis, it comes to the prices from the gas pump to the grocery store.[1]. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. chevron.removeClass('fa-chevron-down'); Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees. 
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